METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Nov 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
33%
Gadelha
67%
Casey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Claudia GadelhawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cortney Casey · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Casey
→
Actual result
Gadelha wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Casey holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Gadelha has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Casey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GadelhaCasey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gadelha
Casey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+67"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gadelha
Casey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
27.5
40.8
Performance Avg
40.3
29
Quality of Victory
41
30
Momentum Score
73
Gadelha
Casey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
4.7
8.0
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance5
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Gadelha
Casey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gadelha
Casey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Gadelha
Casey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
73
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Gadelha
Casey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gadelha
Casey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
GadelhaCasey
Strike Zones
Gadelha
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCasey
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gadelha targets the head (85% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Casey targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Gadelha absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gadelha
RND
Casey
0/0R00/0
Gadelha · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
Casey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05