UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Katona
12%
Butler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brad
Brad Katona
"Superman"
16 – 5
5'6"64" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Jesse
Jesse Butler
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Katona

Katona is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Katona has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Katona has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Katona
Butler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
64"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Katona
Butler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
5.5
44.0
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Katona
Butler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
14
3
Body
5
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance21
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Katona
Butler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Katona
Butler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Katona
Butler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Katona
Butler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Katona
Butler
Striking0.9 / 0.0Volume8.9 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Katona
Strike Zones
Butler
Katona
Attacking
36HEAD3BODY6LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Butler
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD3BODY6LEGS45 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Katona targets the head (80% of attacks) — Butler absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Butler targets the head (67% of attacks) — Katona absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Katona
RND
Butler
0/0R00/0

Katona · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L4.7W5.6L4.5W6.4L2.6L2018-072019-092024-062025-05
WinLossTrend

Butler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.9L5.9L2023-062024-06
WinLossTrend

Katona · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ButlerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Butler · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

News & Media

Brad Katona · Jesse Butler
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