METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Katona
12%
Butler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad KatonawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jesse Butler · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Katona
→
Actual result
Katona wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Katona is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Katona has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Katona has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KatonaButler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Katona
Butler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
64"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Katona
Butler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
5.5
44.0
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Katona
Butler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
14
3
Body
5
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance21
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Katona
Butler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Katona
Butler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Katona
Butler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Katona
Butler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Katona
Butler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KatonaButler
Strike Zones
Katona
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedButler
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Katona targets the head (80% of attacks) — Butler absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Butler targets the head (67% of attacks) — Katona absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Katona
RND
Butler
0/0R00/0
Katona · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Butler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Katona · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ButlerRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Butler · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06