Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight

UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

26 Sept 2020

Light Heavyweight

56%

Reyes

44%

Blachowicz

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 4:36

Dominick Reyes

"The Devastator"

16 – 5

6'4"77" reachSouthpaw36 yrsStriker

CFR 56

Jan Blachowicz

29 – 11

Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"

CFR 44

★ Official Result

Jan BlachowiczwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:36

def. Dominick Reyes · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Reyes

→

Actual result

Blachowicz wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 56% vs Blachowicz at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blachowicz has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ReyesBlachowicz

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Reyes

Blachowicz

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"+

Height

6'2"

77"

Reach

+78"

36+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Reyes

Blachowicz

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.7

44.0

56.3

Performance Avg

51.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Reyes

Blachowicz

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.3

/ 10

5.3

/ 10

6.9

Style: Pressure

5.8

3.7

Style: Volume

4.5

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

11Distance22

0Clinch1

0Ground3

Reyes

Blachowicz

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.5

/ 10

2.3

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.6

1.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Reyes

Blachowicz

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

3 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/21 fights

Chin rating based on

23/40 fights

Reyes

Blachowicz

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Reyes

Blachowicz

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

70%

58%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reyes

Blachowicz

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.3

1.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.3

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.6

1.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.7

6.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.8

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.5

Reyes

Strike Zones

Blachowicz

Reyes

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Blachowicz

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Reyes targets the head (55% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 55% of strikes there

🎯Blachowicz targets the head (88% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reyes

RND

Blachowicz

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Reyes · Last 5

Upcoming

Azamat Murzakanov

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Johnny Walker

Decision

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

L · KO · R1

Carlos Ulberg

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

W · KO · R1

Nikita Krylov

KO/TKO

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

W · KO · R2

Anthony Smith

KO/TKO

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Blachowicz · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Navajo Stirling

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08

Upcoming

Bogdan Guskov

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Carlos Ulberg

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Alex Pereira

Decision

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

Upcoming

Magomed Ankalaev

Decision

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Dominick Reyes · Jan Blachowicz

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