METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Reyes
45%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:36
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
16 – 5
6'4"77" reachSouthpaw36 yrsStriker
CFR 56
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 46
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:36
def. Dominick Reyes · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 55% vs Blachowicz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blachowicz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ReyesBlachowicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reyes
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
36+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
46.4
56.3
Performance Avg
53.0
49
Quality of Victory
48
71
Momentum Score
20
Reyes
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
23
1
Body
1
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance22
0Clinch1
0Ground3
Reyes
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reyes
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
22/40 fights
Reyes
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Reyes
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
58%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reyes
Blachowicz
Striking7.3 / 5.4Volume3.7 / 4.5Grappling1.5 / 2.3Wrestling1.1 / 1.6Submission1.0 / 1.7Pressure6.9 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Reyes
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Reyes
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY4LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD1BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Blachowicz
Attacking
23HEAD1BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY4LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (55% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (88% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reyes
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W6.0W5.1W5.3W5.8W7.3L2.7L3.8L1.9L6.4W6.4W6.2W3.4L5.3W2017-062019-032021-052025-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Blachowicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5W2.8L5.3W4.5W5.0W6.2W5.9W2.5L5.4W7.6L7.4L2014-102017-042019-022021-032025-03
WinLossTrend

Reyes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Blachowicz · Last 5

Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

News & Media

Dominick Reyes · Jan Blachowicz
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