UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Bantamweight
VS
20%
Freitas
80%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gutierrez
Gutierrez is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Freitas throws more volume but Gutierrez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Freitas
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
72"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Freitas
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.3
44.2
28.3
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
35
33
Momentum Score
25
Freitas
Gutierrez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
9
5
Body
3
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
28Distance18
2Clinch1
0Ground1
Freitas
Gutierrez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Freitas
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Freitas
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Freitas
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Freitas
Gutierrez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
FreitasGutierrez
Strike Zones
Freitas
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedGutierrez
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Freitas targets the head (80% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (45% of attacks) — Freitas absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Freitas
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0
Freitas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gutierrez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Freitas · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Tony GravelyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Gutierrez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
