UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Flyweight
VS
63%
Mokaev
37%
Durden
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mokaev
Mokaev holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Durden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Durden has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Durden has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mokaev
Durden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
25+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Mokaev
Durden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
37.8
62.6
Performance Avg
38.8
38
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
54
Mokaev
Durden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mokaev
Durden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mokaev
Durden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Mokaev
Durden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Mokaev
Durden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mokaev
Durden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
MokaevDurden
Strike Zones
Mokaev
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDurden
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mokaev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Durden targets the body (100% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mokaev
RND
Durden
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mokaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Durden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mokaev · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 6.2Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 6.6Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Durden · Last 5
Upcoming
Ode OsbourneUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 6.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

