★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Barao
57%
Faber
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Faber
This is a genuine toss-up — Barao at 43% vs Faber at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Barao throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barao's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Faber has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barao
Faber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
67"
39+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barao
Faber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
20.8
59.4
Performance Avg
49.4
64
Quality of Victory
42
0
Momentum Score
100
Barao
Faber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
1
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance5
5Clinch3
2Ground0
Barao
Faber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barao
Faber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/43 fights
Chin rating based on
18/46 fights
Barao
Faber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Barao
Faber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
64%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barao
Faber
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
BaraoFaber
Strike Zones
Barao
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedFaber
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barao targets the head (76% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Faber targets the head (38% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barao
RND
Faber
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06