UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
90%
Williams
10%
Bedoya
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Khaos
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
16 – 5
6'0"77" reachOrthodox32 yrsStriker
CFR 64
Rolando
Rolando Bedoya
"The Machine"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide29 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Williams

Williams is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Bedoya has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Williams
Bedoya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
74"
32
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Bedoya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
7.4
54.6
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
87
Momentum Score
0
Williams
Bedoya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
52
6
Body
3
11
Leg
10
RangeRange
47Distance62
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Williams
Bedoya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Bedoya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Williams
Bedoya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Williams
Bedoya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Williams
Bedoya
Striking8.4 / 0.0Volume3.6 / 0.0Grappling0.7 / 0.0Wrestling0.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Williams
Strike Zones
Bedoya
Williams
Attacking
30HEAD6BODY11LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
52HEAD3BODY10LEGS65 absorbed
Bedoya
Attacking
52HEAD3BODY10LEGS65 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD6BODY11LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (64% of attacks) — Bedoya absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Bedoya targets the head (80% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Williams
RND
Bedoya
0/0R00/0

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.5W6.1L5.0W6.1W6.4L4.5W5.8W4.5L5.7L5.4W2020-022021-062023-052025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Bedoya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0106.9L5.9L6.2L5.7L2023-052023-082024-082025-09
WinLossTrend

Williams · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Bedoya · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Khaos Williams · Rolando Bedoya
← Back to fights