UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Las Vegas, USA
28 May 2011
Bantamweight
VS
12%
Escovedo
88%
Barao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barao
Barao is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 64 points.
Striking split: Barao throws more volume but Escovedo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barao has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Escovedo
Barao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escovedo
Barao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
15.7
0.0
Performance Avg
59.4
0
Quality of Victory
64
0
Momentum Score
0
Escovedo
Barao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
8
Body
12
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance27
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Escovedo
Barao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Escovedo
Barao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/43 fights
Escovedo
Barao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Escovedo
Barao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
56%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Escovedo
Barao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
EscovedoBarao
Strike Zones
Escovedo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedBarao
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escovedo targets the body (47% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Barao targets the body (43% of attacks) — Escovedo absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Escovedo
RND
Barao
0/0R00/0
Escovedo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Escovedo · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
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UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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