UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Lightweight
VS
46%
Camoes
54%
Martin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martin
This is a genuine toss-up — Camoes at 46% vs Martin at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Camoes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Martin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Camoes's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Camoes
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
47
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camoes
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
17.5
40.4
Performance Avg
45.3
54
Quality of Victory
35
20
Momentum Score
65
Camoes
Martin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.9
31%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Camoes
Martin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Camoes
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Camoes
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Camoes
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camoes
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
CamoesMartin
Strike Zones
Camoes
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMartin
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camoes targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Camoes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camoes
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
Camoes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Camoes · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 1.5Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Tommy HaydenRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Sub · R2
Kurt PellegrinoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12