UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Heavyweight
VS
95%
Palelei
5%
Potts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palelei
Palelei is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Palelei has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Palelei has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Palelei's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Potts has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Palelei
Potts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
81"+
Reach
75"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palelei
Potts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
1.0
56.6
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Palelei
Potts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
27%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Palelei
Potts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palelei
Potts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Palelei
Potts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Palelei
Potts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palelei
Potts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PaleleiPotts
Strike Zones
Palelei
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedPotts
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Palelei targets the head (100% of attacks) — Potts absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palelei
RND
Potts
0/0R00/0
Palelei · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Potts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Palelei · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · KO · R1
Ruan PottsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
Potts · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R2
Anthony HamiltonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05