UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Beal
44%
Soto
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:39
CB
Chris Beal
"Real Deal"
10 – 5
5'7"69" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JS
Joe Soto
"One Bad Mofo"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Beal

This is a genuine toss-up — Beal at 56% vs Soto at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Soto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Soto has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Beal
Soto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
65"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beal
Soto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
12.7
40.0
Performance Avg
39.8
40
Quality of Victory
41
48
Momentum Score
20
Beal
Soto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
35%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
11
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Beal
Soto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beal
Soto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
20
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Beal
Soto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Beal
Soto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Beal
Soto
Striking5.8 / 0.8Volume4.8 / 3.4Grappling1.2 / 6.1Wrestling0.8 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure4.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Beal
Strike Zones
Soto
Beal
Attacking
23HEAD2BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Soto
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD2BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Beal targets the head (92% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Soto targets the head (85% of attacks) — Beal absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Beal
RND
Soto
0/0R00/0

Beal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L2014-042014-092015-012015-082016-06
WinLossTrend

Soto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.1L1.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W4.9W1.5L1.5L2014-082016-012016-112017-122018-02
WinLossTrend

Beal · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe SotoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04

Soto · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

News & Media

Chris Beal · Joe Soto
← Back to fights