UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Nashville, USA
1 Apr 2009
Middleweight
VS
84%
Rivera
16%
Osterneck
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JR
Jorge Rivera
"El Conquistador"
20 – 9
6'1"73" reachOrthodox54 yrsStriker
CFR 14
NO
Nissen Osterneck
12 – 4
Well-Rounded45 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rivera

Rivera is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Striking split: Rivera throws more volume but Osterneck connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rivera's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rivera
Osterneck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
54
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Osterneck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
2.7
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Rivera
Osterneck
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
56%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
2
Body
11
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance6
5Clinch13
0Ground0
Rivera
Osterneck
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
Osterneck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
1/16 fights
Rivera
Osterneck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rivera
Osterneck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rivera
Osterneck
Striking7.3 / 0.0Volume4.1 / 0.0Grappling0.9 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rivera
Strike Zones
Osterneck
Rivera
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD11BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Osterneck
Attacking
5HEAD11BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (64% of attacks) — Osterneck absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Osterneck targets the body (58% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rivera
RND
Osterneck
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W1.5L4.0L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L5.5L5.2W2003-092006-012008-062011-022012-01
WinLossTrend

Rivera · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Osterneck · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Jorge RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04

News & Media

Jorge Rivera · Nissen Osterneck
← Back to fights