UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Middleweight
VS
57%
Sarafian
43%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DS
Daniel Sarafian
10 – 6
5'9"73" reachOrthodox43 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 19
CD
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sarafian

This is a genuine toss-up — Sarafian at 57% vs Dollaway at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sarafian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Dollaway throws more volume but Sarafian connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sarafian's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sarafian
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sarafian
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
14.3
46.0
Performance Avg
44.3
55
Quality of Victory
37
59
Momentum Score
51
Sarafian
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance7
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Sarafian
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sarafian
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Sarafian
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
51
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Sarafian
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sarafian
Dollaway
Striking5.7 / 2.9Volume0.7 / 5.5Grappling4.0 / 2.8Wrestling2.8 / 1.9Submission5.0 / 1.8Pressure8.0 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Sarafian
Strike Zones
Dollaway
Sarafian
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Dollaway
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sarafian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Dollaway targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sarafian absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sarafian
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sarafian · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L5.0W5.5L1.5L5.2W1.5L2013-012013-062013-112014-062014-122016-02
WinLossTrend

Dollaway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L4.7W4.0W2.8L2008-062010-022013-012015-042018-09
WinLossTrend

Sarafian · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Oluwale BamgboseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · KO · R2
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Kiichi KunimotoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Eddie MendezRating 5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

Dollaway · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Daniel Sarafian · CB Dollaway
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