METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2015
Featherweight
VS
24%
Bermudez
76%
Stephens
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:32
★ Official Result
Jeremy StephenswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:32
def. Dennis Bermudez · UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
→
Actual result
Stephens wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stephens is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BermudezStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bermudez
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
45.0
43.2
Performance Avg
41.1
33
Quality of Victory
40
50
Momentum Score
76
Bermudez
Stephens
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
4.5
6.8
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Bermudez
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bermudez
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Bermudez
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
76
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Bermudez
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
47%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
BermudezStephens
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStephens
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (89% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenSubmission
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