METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
9%
Buren
91%
O'Connell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:11
★ Official Result
Sean O'ConnellwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:11
def. Matt Van Buren · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Connell
→
Actual result
O'Connell wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
O'Connell is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Connell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Risk flags
Buren's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurenO'Connell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buren
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
74"
40+
Age
43
—
Stance
Orthodox
Buren
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
15.6
0.0
Performance Avg
44.4
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
26
Buren
O'Connell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.9
0.0
Style: Volume
0.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
25
5
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance17
1Clinch11
0Ground1
Buren
O'Connell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Buren
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Buren
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Buren
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buren
O'Connell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
BurenO'Connell
Strike Zones
Buren
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedO'Connell
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buren targets the head (70% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (86% of attacks) — Buren absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buren
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buren · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Sean O'ConnellKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Corey AndersonKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
O'Connell · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01