METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
9%
Buren
91%
O'Connell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:11
★ Official Result
Sean O'ConnellwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:11
def. Matt Van Buren · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Connell
→
Actual result
O'Connell wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
O'Connell is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Connell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
O'Connell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Buren's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurenO'Connell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buren
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
74"
40+
Age
42
—
Stance
Orthodox
Buren
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
15.6
0.0
Performance Avg
44.4
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
26
Buren
O'Connell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
25
5
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance17
1Clinch11
0Ground1
Buren
O'Connell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Buren
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Buren
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Buren
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buren
O'Connell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
BurenO'Connell
Strike Zones
Buren
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedO'Connell
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buren targets the head (70% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (86% of attacks) — Buren absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buren
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buren · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
O'Connell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Buren · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Sean O'ConnellRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
O'Connell · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01