UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Shanghai, China
25 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Sherman
44%
Abdurakhimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sherman
This is a genuine toss-up — Sherman at 56% vs Abdurakhimov at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sherman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abdurakhimov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.1
24.1
38.4
Performance Avg
41.0
46
Quality of Victory
38
46
Momentum Score
15
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/28 fights
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherman
Abdurakhimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ShermanAbdurakhimov
Strike Zones
Sherman
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAbdurakhimov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherman
RND
Abdurakhimov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6KO/TKO
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