UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
56%
Garry
44%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ian
Ian Machado Garry
"The Future"
17 – 1
6'3"74" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Gabe
Gabe Green
"Gifted"
12 – 5
Well-Rounded33 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garry

This is a genuine toss-up — Garry at 56% vs Green at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Green throws more volume but Garry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Garry
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Garry
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
51.8
57.1
Performance Avg
45.9
35
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
59
Garry
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.4
59%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
8
5
Body
6
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
36Distance26
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Garry
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garry
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Garry
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Garry
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garry
Green
Striking4.8 / 4.3Volume7.4 / 3.7Grappling1.7 / 3.5Wrestling1.2 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.8 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Garry
Strike Zones
Green
Garry
Attacking
32HEAD5BODY2LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY12LEGS26 absorbed
Green
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY12LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD5BODY2LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garry targets the head (82% of attacks) — Green absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the legs (46% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garry
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.9W5.1W5.5W5.3W7.6L6.7W5.6W2021-112023-032024-022025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.4L5.6W5.2W7.0L3.3L5.4W2020-052021-022022-042022-072023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Garry · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Matheus CamiloRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Bryan BattleRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R2
Yohan LainesseRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02

News & Media

Ian Machado Garry · Gabe Green
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