UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Andrade
49%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
5'1"62" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Tecia
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
15 – 8
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox60" reach5'1"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Andrade

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 51% vs Pennington at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
5'1"
62"+
Reach
60"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
49.8
49.4
Performance Avg
39.8
45
Quality of Victory
28
79
Momentum Score
89
Andrade
Pennington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
21
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance3
4Clinch0
31Ground1
Andrade
Pennington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Andrade
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Andrade
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
9%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Pennington
Striking4.7 / 1.2Volume4.9 / 7.7Grappling2.5 / 2.7Wrestling1.8 / 1.9Submission1.8 / 0.9Pressure5.4 / 2.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Andrade
Strike Zones
Pennington
Andrade
Attacking
15HEAD21BODY1LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Pennington
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD21BODY1LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the body (57% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.6W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.5W6.3L5.5L7.3L6.2L4.5W4.7W4.6W6.7L6.2L4.8W4.5W6.8L2014-122017-072019-082024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04

News & Media

Jessica Andrade · Tecia Pennington
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