UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson
Dublin, Ireland
17 Jan 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
91%
Schafer
9%
Mendes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Schafer
Schafer is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Schafer
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Schafer
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
1.6
46.9
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Schafer
Mendes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
22Ground1
Schafer
Mendes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schafer
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/31 fights
Schafer
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Schafer
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schafer
Mendes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SchaferMendes
Strike Zones
Schafer
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMendes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schafer
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0
Schafer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Schafer · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
Mendes · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05