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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson
Dublin, Ireland
17 Jan 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
91%
Schafer
9%
Mendes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:35
ES
Eric Schafer
"Red"
148
6'3"76" reachOrthodox48 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
AM
Antonio Mendes
"Samurai"
1813
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Eric SchaferwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:35
def. Antonio Mendes · UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Schafer
Actual result
Schafer wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Schafer is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.

Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mendes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SchaferMendes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Schafer
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Schafer
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
1.6
46.9
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Schafer
Mendes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
22Ground1
Schafer
Mendes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schafer
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/31 fights
Schafer
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Schafer
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schafer
Mendes
Striking4.0 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling5.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.7 / 0.0Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Schafer
Strike Zones
Mendes
Schafer
Attacking
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Mendes
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schafer
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0

Schafer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W1.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2.8L2006-082008-092010-032012-01
WinLossTrend

Mendes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2008-052009-01
WinLossTrend

Schafer · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01

Mendes · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05

News & Media

Eric Schafer · Antonio Mendes
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