UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Welterweight
VS
52%
Fletcher
48%
Loosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AF
AJ Fletcher
"The Ghost"
10 – 3
5'10"67" reachSwitch29 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 35
Ange
Ange Loosa
"The Last Ninja"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fletcher

This is a genuine toss-up — Fletcher at 52% vs Loosa at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Fletcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Loosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Fletcher
Loosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
67"
Reach
+74"
29+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Fletcher
Loosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
31.5
39.7
Performance Avg
31.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
29
Momentum Score
30
Fletcher
Loosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
32
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance13
0Clinch2
0Ground23
Fletcher
Loosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fletcher
Loosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Fletcher
Loosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
30
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fletcher
Loosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fletcher
Loosa
Striking0.5 / 0.8Volume0.5 / 8.8Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 1.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Fletcher
Strike Zones
Loosa
Fletcher
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD5BODY1LEGS38 absorbed
Loosa
Attacking
32HEAD5BODY1LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fletcher targets the head (100% of attacks) — Loosa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Loosa targets the head (84% of attacks) — Fletcher absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fletcher
RND
Loosa
0/0R00/0

Fletcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.5L5.7W4.5L2022-032022-082023-022023-09
WinLossTrend

Loosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W4.5W7.2L5.1L2022-042022-082023-092024-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Fletcher · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Bryan BattleRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Sub · R2
Themba GorimboRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

Loosa · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Upcoming
Bryan Battle
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Rhys McKeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
AJ FletcherRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

AJ Fletcher · Ange Loosa
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