METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Andrade
51%
Jasudavicius
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:40
★ Official Result
Jasmine JasudaviciuswinsSubmissionR1 · 2:40
def. Jessica Andrade · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jasudavicius
→
Actual result
Jasudavicius wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 49% vs Jasudavicius at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradeJasudavicius
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'7"
62"
Reach
+68"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
53.3
49.4
Performance Avg
49.6
45
Quality of Victory
33
79
Momentum Score
73
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
AndradeJasudavicius
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedJasudavicius
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Jasudavicius absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jasudavicius targets the head (82% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Jasudavicius
0/0R00/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jasudavicius · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Jasudavicius · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Manon FiorotRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11