UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Andrade
51%
Jasudavicius
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:40
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
5'1"62" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Jasmine
Jasmine Jasudavicius
15 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jasudavicius

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 49% vs Jasudavicius at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade
Jasudavicius
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'7"
62"
Reach
+68"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
53.3
49.4
Performance Avg
49.6
45
Quality of Victory
33
79
Momentum Score
73
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Andrade
Jasudavicius
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Jasudavicius
Striking4.7 / 1.5Volume4.9 / 6.8Grappling2.5 / 4.3Wrestling1.8 / 3.0Submission1.8 / 3.3Pressure5.4 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Andrade
Strike Zones
Jasudavicius
Andrade
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY4LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Jasudavicius
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY4LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Jasudavicius absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jasudavicius targets the head (82% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Jasudavicius
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Jasudavicius · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W7.0L4.9W5.3W6.2L6.5W6.1W5.5W5.1W5.8W3.1L5.7W2022-012023-062024-072025-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Jasudavicius · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Manon FiorotRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5
Submission
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News & Media

Jessica Andrade · Jasmine Jasudavicius
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