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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Stasiak
73%
Kelleher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:39
DS
Damian Stasiak
"Webster"
10 – 6
5'5"70" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 15
Brian
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
24 – 16
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsSwitch66" reach5'6"
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Brian KelleherwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:39
def. Damian Stasiak · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelleher
→
Actual result
Kelleher wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Kelleher is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kelleher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kelleher has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StasiakKelleher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stasiak
Kelleher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Stasiak
Kelleher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
40.8
43.0
Performance Avg
44.5
50
Quality of Victory
43
13
Momentum Score
61
Stasiak
Kelleher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
31
2
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance18
1Clinch0
0Ground17
Stasiak
Kelleher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stasiak
Kelleher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
17/40 fights
Stasiak
Kelleher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Stasiak
Kelleher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stasiak
Kelleher
Striking0.7 / 3.4Volume0.7 / 3.9Grappling8.0 / 3.9Wrestling5.6 / 2.7Submission10.0 / 3.8Pressure8.0 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Stasiak
Strike Zones
Kelleher
Stasiak
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD1BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Kelleher
Attacking
31HEAD1BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stasiak targets the head (73% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Kelleher targets the head (89% of attacks) — Stasiak absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stasiak
RND
Kelleher
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Stasiak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.0W6.3W6.0L4.3L5.5L2015-042016-042016-102017-052017-102018-07
WinLossTrend

Kelleher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W2.3L5.5W4.5W4.0L2.4L5.8W5.2W5.5L5.0W6.2L4.5W4.5W2.8L2.6L2.6L1.7L2017-062018-122021-022023-122024-07
WinLossTrend

Stasiak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pingyuan LiuRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Sub · R1
Filip PejicRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar NurmagomedovRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin CroomRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Damian Stasiak · Brian Kelleher
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