METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
48%
Algeo
52%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Bill AlgeowinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:50
def. Herbert Burns · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burns
→
Actual result
Algeo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Algeo at 48% vs Burns at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Burns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Algeo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Algeo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlgeoBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Algeo
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
37+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Algeo
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
42.8
41.5
Performance Avg
47.5
36
Quality of Victory
57
51
Momentum Score
39
Algeo
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Algeo
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Algeo
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Algeo
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Algeo
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Algeo
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
AlgeoBurns
Strike Zones
Algeo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBurns
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Algeo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Algeo
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
Algeo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Daniel PinedaRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · Sub · R1
Evan DunhamRating 5Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06