METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
48%
Algeo
52%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Bill AlgeowinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:50
def. Herbert Burns · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burns
→
Actual result
Algeo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Algeo at 48% vs Burns at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Burns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Algeo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlgeoBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Algeo
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
37+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Algeo
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
42.8
41.5
Performance Avg
47.5
36
Quality of Victory
57
51
Momentum Score
39
Algeo
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.8
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Algeo
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Algeo
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Algeo
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Algeo
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Algeo
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
AlgeoBurns
Strike Zones
Algeo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBurns
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Algeo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Algeo
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jack JenkinsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Bill AlgeoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Daniel PinedaKO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · Sub · R1
Evan DunhamSubmission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06