UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
48%
Algeo
52%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
Bill
Bill Algeo
"Senor Perfecto"
18 – 9
6'0"73" reachSwitch36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Herbert
Herbert Burns
"The Blaze"
11 – 6
Pressure Fighter4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Burns

This is a genuine toss-up — Algeo at 48% vs Burns at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Burns has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Algeo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Algeo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burns has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Algeo
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
36+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Algeo
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
42.8
41.5
Performance Avg
47.5
36
Quality of Victory
57
51
Momentum Score
39
Algeo
Burns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Algeo
Burns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Algeo
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Algeo
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Algeo
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Algeo
Burns
Striking3.0 / 5.7Volume5.8 / 0.7Grappling3.0 / 4.0Wrestling2.1 / 2.8Submission2.0 / 5.0Pressure4.3 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Algeo
Strike Zones
Burns
Algeo
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Burns
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Algeo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Algeo
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0

Algeo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.6L6.1W5.6W6.2L5.2W5.4W1.6L4.5L2020-082022-012023-042024-07
WinLossTrend

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.7W5.0W3.6L3.0L3.5L4.8L2020-012020-062020-082022-072024-032024-08
WinLossTrend

Algeo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Daniel PinedaRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · Sub · R1
Evan DunhamRating 5
Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

News & Media

Bill Algeo · Herbert Burns
← Back to fights