UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Middleweight
VS
75%
Hall
25%
Lewis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hall
Hall is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Hall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lewis has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hall
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
8.4
47.8
Performance Avg
25.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
17
Hall
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
28%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
0
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hall
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Hall
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
17
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Hall
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Lewis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
HallLewis
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedLewis
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Lewis · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dequan TownsendRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 5.5Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Uriah HallRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12