UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Struve
70%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lima
Lima is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Struve throws more volume but Lima connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Struve
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'1"
84"+
Reach
75"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
47.3
51.7
Performance Avg
53.8
50
Quality of Victory
49
98
Momentum Score
59
Struve
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Struve
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Struve
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Struve
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
73%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
6
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05