UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
Macau, China
23 Aug 2014
Welterweight
VS
19%
Wang
81%
Covington
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Covington
Covington is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Covington has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Wang throws more volume but Covington connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Covington has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wang
Covington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wang
Covington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.7
61.2
38.0
Performance Avg
53.2
30
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
100
Wang
Covington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
0.8
26%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Wang
Covington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wang
Covington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/3 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Wang
Covington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · R1
Last 5
L · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R5
Wang
Covington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
42%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wang
Covington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
WangCovington
Strike Zones
Wang
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCovington
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Covington targets the head (82% of attacks) — Wang absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wang
RND
Covington
0/0R00/0
Wang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Covington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Wang · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Colby CovingtonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
W · R1
Albert ChengRating 4UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
Covington · Last 5
L · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
W · KO · R5
Tyron WoodleyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
