UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Welterweight
VS
25%
Montano
75%
Muhammad
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:19
AM
Augusto Montano
"Dodger"
15 – 3
6'1"73" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 19
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

Muhammad is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Montano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Striking split: Montano throws more volume but Muhammad connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Montano
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Montano
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
56.8
49.3
Performance Avg
48.5
60
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
100
Montano
Muhammad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
29
2
Body
0
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Montano
Muhammad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Montano
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Montano
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Montano
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Montano
Muhammad
Striking10.0 / 2.8Volume0.7 / 7.9Grappling0.0 / 2.5Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure8.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Montano
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Montano
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY10LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Muhammad
Attacking
29HEAD0BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY10LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (97% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Montano
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0

Montano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5L5.1L2014-112015-062016-09
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Montano · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Chris HeatherlyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Augusto Montano · Belal Muhammad
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