METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Welterweight
VS
26%
Montano
74%
Muhammad
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:19
★ Official Result
Belal MuhammadwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:19
def. Augusto Montano · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Muhammad
→
Actual result
Muhammad wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Muhammad is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Montano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Muhammad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MontanoMuhammad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Montano
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Montano
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
55.8
49.3
Performance Avg
47.1
60
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
100
Montano
Muhammad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
3.5
0.7
Style: Volume
7.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
29
2
Body
0
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Montano
Muhammad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Montano
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Montano
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Montano
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Montano
Muhammad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
MontanoMuhammad
Strike Zones
Montano
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMuhammad
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (97% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Montano
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0
Montano · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Belal MuhammadKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredDecision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Chris HeatherlyKO/TKO
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
Muhammad · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Gabriel BonfimDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05