UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
57%
Bonfim
43%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:40
Gabriel
Gabriel Bonfim
"Marretinha"
19 – 1
6'1"72" reachOrthodox28 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 69
Randy
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bonfim

This is a genuine toss-up — Bonfim at 57% vs Brown at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brown has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bonfim
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+78"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonfim
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.3
52.9
61.5
Performance Avg
48.7
45
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
92
Bonfim
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
1
Body
6
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance14
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonfim
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonfim
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Bonfim
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
92
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bonfim
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bonfim
Brown
Striking3.4 / 4.1Volume4.4 / 5.3Grappling4.8 / 2.9Wrestling3.4 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 2.1Pressure7.2 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Bonfim
Strike Zones
Brown
Bonfim
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Brown
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (45% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the body (43% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bonfim
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bonfim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.2W3.1L4.5W6.7W5.1W6.0W2023-012023-112025-022025-11
WinLossTrend

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W2.8L5.5W5.2W6.6L5.0W3.4L5.9W5.5W4.2L5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W3.0L4.5W6.0W5.0W7.3L5.6W3.8L6.1L2016-012018-072022-052024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Bonfim · Last 5

Upcoming
Belal Muhammad
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Brown · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Gabriel Bonfim · Randy Brown
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