UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
55%
Escudero
45%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Escudero
This is a genuine toss-up — Escudero at 55% vs Silva at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Escudero
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
14.0
48.3
Performance Avg
37.9
53
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
30
Escudero
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance9
0Clinch5
1Ground0
Escudero
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Escudero
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Escudero
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Escudero
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Escudero
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
EscuderoSilva
Strike Zones
Escudero
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSilva
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the head (75% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (57% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Escudero
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
Upcoming
Drew DoberUFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03