UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Lightweight
VS
39%
Cerrone
61%
Barboza
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barboza
Barboza holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cerrone
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
44.9
53.0
Performance Avg
46.3
47
Quality of Victory
40
63
Momentum Score
60
Cerrone
Barboza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
10 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
17
2
Body
7
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerrone
Barboza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
32/38 fights
Cerrone
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
60
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Cerrone
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
10
KO / TKO Wins
9
6
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerrone
Barboza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
CerroneBarboza
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedBarboza
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (55% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerrone
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cerrone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
