The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Featherweight
VS
78%
Glenn
22%
Aguilar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ricky
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
22 – 9
6'0"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
KA
Kevin Aguilar
"Angel of Death"
17 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'7"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Glenn

Glenn is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Glenn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Glenn's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Glenn
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Glenn
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.7
10.8
36.2
Performance Avg
28.3
34
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
35
Glenn
Aguilar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
20
4
Body
9
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance16
5Clinch2
0Ground13
Glenn
Aguilar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Glenn
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Glenn
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Glenn
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Glenn
Aguilar
Striking3.3 / 0.7Volume6.8 / 8.7Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Glenn
Strike Zones
Aguilar
Glenn
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY2LEGS31 absorbed
Aguilar
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY2LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Glenn targets the head (64% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the head (65% of attacks) — Glenn absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Glenn
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Glenn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.6W1.7L2.7L5.9L2016-092017-122021-062024-08
WinLossTrend

Aguilar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.6W4.5W6.2L2.0L5.5L5.5L2018-112019-032019-062020-022020-062021-05
WinLossTrend

Glenn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Upcoming
Grant Dawson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Joaquim SilvaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06

Aguilar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Zubaira TukhugovRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03

News & Media

Ricky Glenn · Kevin Aguilar
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