UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Heavyweight
VS
70%
Ngannou
30%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:11
FN
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
17 – 3
6'4"83" reachOrthodox39 yrs6-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 43
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
Striker4-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ngannou

Ngannou is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ngannou
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
83"+
Reach
77"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ngannou
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.0
18.7
70.4
Performance Avg
57.8
60
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
59
Ngannou
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Ngannou
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ngannou
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Ngannou
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Ngannou
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
67%
9
KO / TKO Wins
10
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ngannou
Santos
Striking9.2 / 8.0Volume2.4 / 4.0Grappling0.9 / 0.8Wrestling0.6 / 0.6Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Ngannou
Strike Zones
Santos
Ngannou
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ngannou targets the head (56% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ngannou
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ngannou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.7W5.0W6.6L6.7L5.9W5.0W5.0W6.1W6.2W6.2W2015-122017-012018-112021-032022-01
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Ngannou · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

News & Media

Francis Ngannou · Junior Dos Santos
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