METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 42: Sudden Impact
Miami, USA
25 Apr 2003
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Correira
11%
Alvarez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:46
WC
Wesley Correira
"Cabbage"
2016
6'3"Orthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SA
Sean Alvarez
43
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Wesley CorreirawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:46
def. Sean Alvarez · UFC 42: Sudden Impact

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Correira
Actual result
Correira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Correira is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Correira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Risk flags

Correira's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CorreiraAlvarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Correira
Alvarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
47+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correira
Alvarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
2.2
45.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Correira
Alvarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
1.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
14Clinch0
0Ground0
Correira
Alvarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Correira
Alvarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/36 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Correira
Alvarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Correira
Alvarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Correira
Alvarez
Striking6.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Correira
Strike Zones
Alvarez
Correira
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Alvarez
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Correira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alvarez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Correira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Correira
RND
Alvarez
0/0R00/0

Correira · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Andrei Arlovski
KO/TKO
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04
W · R1
David Abbott
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R2
Sean Alvarez
KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
L · KO · R2
Tim Sylvia
KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09

Alvarez · Last 1

L · KO · R2
Wesley Correira
KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04

News & Media

Wesley Correira · Sean Alvarez
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