UFC 42: Sudden Impact
Miami, USA
25 Apr 2003
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Correira
11%
Alvarez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:46
WC
Wesley Correira
"Cabbage"
20 – 16
6'3"Orthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SA
Sean Alvarez
4 – 3
Well-Rounded54 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Correira

Correira is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Correira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Correira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Correira's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Correira
Alvarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
47+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correira
Alvarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
2.2
45.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Correira
Alvarez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
17%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
14Clinch0
0Ground0
Correira
Alvarez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Correira
Alvarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/36 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Correira
Alvarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Correira
Alvarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Correira
Alvarez
Striking6.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Correira
Strike Zones
Alvarez
Correira
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Alvarez
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Correira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alvarez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Correira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Correira
RND
Alvarez
0/0R00/0

Correira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0102.8L5.2W4.0W3.5L2002-092003-042003-112004-04
WinLossTrend

Correira · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04
W · R1
David AbbottRating 4
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R2
Sean AlvarezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
L · KO · R2
Tim SylviaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09

Alvarez · Last 1

L · KO · R2
Wesley CorreiraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04

News & Media

Wesley Correira · Sean Alvarez
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