UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
73%
Barboza
27%
Dunham
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barboza
Barboza is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Barboza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barboza
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
16.2
46.3
Performance Avg
40.1
40
Quality of Victory
30
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
5
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground2
Barboza
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Barboza
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Barboza
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
18%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
BarbozaDunham
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedDunham
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the body (50% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09