UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Chicago, USA
26 Jan 2013
Featherweight
VS
48%
Koch
52%
Lamas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:32
EK
Erik Koch
"Phoenix"
16 – 6
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
RL
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lamas

This is a genuine toss-up — Koch at 48% vs Lamas at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Koch
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
37+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
20.7
46.3
Performance Avg
52.0
44
Quality of Victory
44
84
Momentum Score
98
Koch
Lamas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
15
1
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance5
1Clinch1
0Ground15
Koch
Lamas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koch
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Koch
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
98
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Koch
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
64%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Koch
Lamas
Striking5.0 / 4.9Volume4.2 / 4.2Grappling2.6 / 3.0Wrestling1.8 / 2.1Submission2.0 / 2.7Pressure5.7 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Koch
Strike Zones
Lamas
Koch
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY4LEGS21 absorbed
Lamas
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY4LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Lamas targets the head (71% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Koch
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0

Koch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W2.8L6.8L5.0W1.5L5.2W6.0L6.2L4.5W2011-032013-082016-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Lamas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.8W4.5W5.2W6.0L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.6L6.7W5.0W1.6L5.5L6.0W2.0L4.7W2011-062014-062016-112019-062020-08
WinLossTrend

Koch · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Lamas · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12

News & Media

Erik Koch · Ricardo Lamas
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