UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Lightweight
VS
46%
Saggo
54%
Felder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Jason Saggo
12 – 4
5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Felder

This is a genuine toss-up — Saggo at 46% vs Felder at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Saggo throws more volume but Felder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Saggo
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
21.7
49.0
Performance Avg
49.0
48
Quality of Victory
42
52
Momentum Score
100
Saggo
Felder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
2Clinch3
4Ground5
Saggo
Felder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saggo
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Saggo
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Saggo
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo
Felder
Striking7.7 / 5.6Volume3.7 / 4.8Grappling0.8 / 2.0Wrestling0.6 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure6.2 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Saggo
Strike Zones
Felder
Saggo
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the head (80% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (82% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Saggo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L3.0L2014-062014-102016-032016-062016-122017-09
WinLossTrend

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Paul Felder
← Back to fights