UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Middleweight
VS
72%
Shahbazyan
28%
Lungiambula
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:41
Edmen
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16 – 5
6'2"75" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 63
DL
Dalcha Lungiambula
"Champion"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'8"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shahbazyan

Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Shahbazyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lungiambula has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'8"
75"
Reach
+76"
28+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
25.1
56.3
Performance Avg
33.9
51
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
30
Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
5
7
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance11
4Clinch1
10Ground0
Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
20
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shahbazyan
Lungiambula
Striking8.0 / 5.6Volume3.1 / 4.6Grappling1.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.0 / 0.8Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Shahbazyan
Strike Zones
Lungiambula
Shahbazyan
Attacking
27HEAD7BODY0LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Lungiambula
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD7BODY0LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (79% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Lungiambula targets the body (50% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shahbazyan
RND
Lungiambula
0/0R00/0

Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.3L6.4L4.2L5.2W5.4L5.0W3.8L5.0W5.0W5.9W2018-112020-082023-052025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Lungiambula · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.0L3.7L4.2L2019-062021-012022-032022-12
WinLossTrend

Shahbazyan · Last 5

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Decision
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KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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Submission
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Lungiambula · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7
KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Markus PerezRating 4.5
Decision
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News & Media

Edmen Shahbazyan · Dalcha Lungiambula
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