METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Middleweight
VS
48%
Cannonier
52%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jared CannonierwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Sean Strickland · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Strickland
→
Actual result
Cannonier wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 48% vs Strickland at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CannonierStrickland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cannonier
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
42
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cannonier
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
57.7
49.3
Performance Avg
50.9
46
Quality of Victory
37
82
Momentum Score
100
Cannonier
Strickland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
37
16
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance43
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cannonier
Strickland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Cannonier
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Cannonier
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
CannonierStrickland
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (55% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (86% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01