UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Middleweight
VS
48%
Cannonier
52%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrsStriker
CFR 54
Sean
Sean Strickland
31 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Strickland

This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 48% vs Strickland at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cannonier
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
42
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cannonier
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
57.7
49.3
Performance Avg
50.9
46
Quality of Victory
37
82
Momentum Score
100
Cannonier
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
37
16
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance43
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cannonier
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Cannonier
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Cannonier
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier
Strickland
Striking7.5 / 4.2Volume4.0 / 6.8Grappling0.9 / 2.0Wrestling0.6 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.6Pressure6.1 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Cannonier
Strike Zones
Strickland
Cannonier
Attacking
22HEAD16BODY2LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD6BODY0LEGS43 absorbed
Strickland
Attacking
37HEAD6BODY0LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD16BODY2LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (55% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (86% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Strickland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5W4.5W6.6L4.7W2.0L5.2W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.5W5.4W3.6L6.5L5.9W5.9W5.9W7.4L5.5W7.4L6.7W6.4W2014-032017-112022-022024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Sean Strickland
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