METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
70%
Iaquinta
30%
Clarke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:57
AI
Al Iaquinta
"Raging"
147
5'10"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
MC
Mitch Clarke
"Danger Zone"
115
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 11
★ Official Result
Mitch ClarkewinsSubmissionR2 · 0:57
def. Al Iaquinta · UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Iaquinta
Actual result
Clarke wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Iaquinta is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Clarke has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
IaquintaClarke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Iaquinta
Clarke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Clarke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
10.9
47.0
Performance Avg
33.8
38
Quality of Victory
37
51
Momentum Score
10
Iaquinta
Clarke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.6
Style: Volume
4.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Iaquinta
Clarke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Iaquinta
Clarke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Iaquinta
Clarke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Iaquinta
Clarke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Iaquinta
Clarke
Striking5.6 / 0.6Volume5.6 / 4.6Grappling1.3 / 5.2Wrestling0.9 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.9 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Iaquinta
Strike Zones
Clarke
Iaquinta
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Clarke
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (67% of attacks) — Clarke absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Clarke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Iaquinta
RND
Clarke
0/0R00/0

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan Hooker
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald Cerrone
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin Lee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

Clarke · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alex White
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Joe Duffy
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael Chiesa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
W · Sub · R2
Al Iaquinta
Submission
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
John Maguire
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

News & Media

Al Iaquinta · Mitch Clarke
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