METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
70%
Iaquinta
30%
Clarke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:57
★ Official Result
Mitch ClarkewinsSubmissionR2 · 0:57
def. Al Iaquinta · UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Iaquinta
→
Actual result
Clarke wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Iaquinta is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Iaquinta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clarke has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IaquintaClarke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Iaquinta
Clarke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Clarke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
10.9
47.0
Performance Avg
33.8
38
Quality of Victory
37
51
Momentum Score
10
Iaquinta
Clarke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Iaquinta
Clarke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Iaquinta
Clarke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Iaquinta
Clarke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Iaquinta
Clarke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Iaquinta
Clarke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
IaquintaClarke
Strike Zones
Iaquinta
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedClarke
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (67% of attacks) — Clarke absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Clarke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Iaquinta
RND
Clarke
0/0R00/0
Iaquinta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Clarke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Iaquinta · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Clarke · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alex WhiteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Joe DuffyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
W · Sub · R2
Al IaquintaRating 5.2Submission
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06