UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Bantamweight
VS
31%
Bedford
69%
Gibson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gibson
Gibson holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Bedford has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Gibson throws more volume but Bedford connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bedford's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gibson has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bedford
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bedford
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
39.9
47.5
Performance Avg
39.8
53
Quality of Victory
46
39
Momentum Score
25
Bedford
Gibson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Bedford
Gibson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bedford
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/34 fights
Chin rating based on
10/34 fights
Bedford
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Bedford
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bedford
Gibson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
BedfordGibson
Strike Zones
Bedford
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGibson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bedford targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bedford absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bedford
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bedford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Gibson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bedford · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Rani YahyaRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · KO · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
Upcoming
Rani YahyaUFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R3
Bryan CarawayRating 4Submission
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · KO · R2
Marcos ViniciusRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
Gibson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
AoriqilengRating 2.3KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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Chad AnheligerRating 4.9Decision
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Brian KelleherRating 5.3Submission
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Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
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