UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Fiorot
48%
Namajunas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fiorot
This is a genuine toss-up — Fiorot at 52% vs Namajunas at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Fiorot has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Namajunas has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fiorot
Namajunas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fiorot
Namajunas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.2
63.2
59.6
Performance Avg
55.9
40
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
100
Fiorot
Namajunas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
6
Body
7
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance22
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Fiorot
Namajunas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fiorot
Namajunas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Fiorot
Namajunas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Fiorot
Namajunas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
42%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fiorot
Namajunas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
FiorotNamajunas
Strike Zones
Fiorot
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedNamajunas
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fiorot targets the head (67% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Namajunas targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fiorot absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fiorot
RND
Namajunas
0/0R00/0
Fiorot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Fiorot · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

