UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Middleweight
VS
71%
Adesanya
29%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Adesanya
Adesanya is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Adesanya
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
77"
36+
Age
51
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Adesanya
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
25.5
61.2
Performance Avg
71.6
56
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
63%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
5
Body
2
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adesanya
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
25/45 fights
Adesanya
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Adesanya
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
82%
5
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
AdesanyaSilva
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSilva
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (40% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
