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UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Middleweight
VS
71%
Adesanya
29%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
6'4"80" reachSwitch36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
AS
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
34 – 11
Knockout Artist3-fight slide51 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'2"
CFR 26
β˜… Official Result
Israel AdesanyawinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Anderson Silva Β· UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Adesanya
β†’
Actual result
Adesanya wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Adesanya is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 16 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva has a chin rating of 6 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AdesanyaSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Adesanya
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
77"
36+
Age
51
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Adesanya
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
25.5
61.2
Performance Avg
71.6
56
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Silva
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
63%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
5
Body
2
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adesanya
Silva
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
25/45 fights
Adesanya
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R4
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R4
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Adesanya
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
82%
5
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Adesanya
Silva
Striking5.2 / 7.9Volume6.3 / 2.8Grappling1.5 / 1.8Wrestling1.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure4.7 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Adesanya
Strike Zones
Silva
Adesanya
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY11LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY11LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the legs (44% of attacks) β€” Silva absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (40% of attacks) β€” Adesanya absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Adesanya
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Adesanya Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Silva Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.1W5.1W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.1W5.1W5.0W2.9L2.9L5.5L5.5L4.8W6.9L2.5L3.4L2006-062008-072011-022016-022020-10
WinLossTrend

Adesanya Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov Β· 2025-02
L Β· Sub Β· R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Β· 2024-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Β· 2023-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Β· 2023-04

Silva Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva Β· 2020-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Β· 2019-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva Β· 2019-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie Β· 2017-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes Β· 2016-07

News & Media

Israel Adesanya Β· Anderson Silva
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