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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Middleweight
VS
43%
Whittaker
57%
Plessis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:23
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
279
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Dricus
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
233
Well-Rounded32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'1"
CFR 72
★ Official Result
Dricus Du PlessiswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:23
def. Robert Whittaker · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Plessis
Actual result
Plessis wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 43% vs Plessis at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerPlessis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Whittaker
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Whittaker
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
72.2
56.6
Performance Avg
64.5
46
Quality of Victory
47
71
Momentum Score
100
Whittaker
Plessis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
6.9
6.3
Style: Volume
5.0
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
25
0
Body
2
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance20
1Clinch8
0Ground5
Whittaker
Plessis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Whittaker
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Whittaker
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Plessis
Striking5.3 / 5.8Volume6.3 / 5.0Grappling1.5 / 2.6Wrestling1.0 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure4.9 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Plessis
Whittaker
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY6LEGS33 absorbed
Plessis
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY6LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (78% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (76% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Plessis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de Ridder
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat Chimaev
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram Aliskerov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo Costa
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Plessis · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Kamaru Usman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Khamzat Chimaev
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean Strickland
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel Adesanya
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean Strickland
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Dricus Du Plessis
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