METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
9%
Penner
91%
Donovan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Cody DonovanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:35
def. Nick Penner · UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Donovan
→
Actual result
Donovan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Donovan is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Donovan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Risk flags
Penner's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Donovan has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PennerDonovan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penner
Donovan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
Reach
74"
46
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Penner
Donovan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
15.9
0.0
Performance Avg
46.0
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
22
Penner
Donovan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.0
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
1
Body
9
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
1Clinch8
1Ground5
Penner
Donovan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Penner
Donovan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Penner
Donovan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Penner
Donovan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penner
Donovan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
PennerDonovan
Strike Zones
Penner
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedDonovan
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penner targets the head (86% of attacks) — Donovan absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Donovan targets the head (47% of attacks) — Penner absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penner
RND
Donovan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Penner · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Cody DonovanKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Donovan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteKO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Nick PennerKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12