METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
9%
Penner
91%
Donovan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Cody DonovanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:35
def. Nick Penner · UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Donovan
→
Actual result
Donovan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Donovan is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Donovan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Donovan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penner's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Donovan has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PennerDonovan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penner
Donovan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
Reach
74"
46
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Penner
Donovan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
15.9
0.0
Performance Avg
46.0
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
22
Penner
Donovan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
4.2
30%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
1
Body
9
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
1Clinch8
1Ground5
Penner
Donovan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
3.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penner
Donovan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Penner
Donovan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Penner
Donovan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penner
Donovan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
PennerDonovan
Strike Zones
Penner
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedDonovan
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penner targets the head (86% of attacks) — Donovan absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Donovan targets the head (47% of attacks) — Penner absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penner
RND
Donovan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Penner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Donovan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Penner · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Cody DonovanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Donovan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Nick PennerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12