UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Herrig
55%
Kowalkiewicz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:01
FH
Felice Herrig
"Lil Bulldog"
14 – 10
5'4"65" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Karolina
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
16 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kowalkiewicz

This is a genuine toss-up — Herrig at 45% vs Kowalkiewicz at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Kowalkiewicz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kowalkiewicz has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
64"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.3
32.7
41.4
Performance Avg
35.6
36
Quality of Victory
28
66
Momentum Score
40
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
24
5
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance23
1Clinch3
0Ground8
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
40
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Striking1.0 / 0.9Volume5.8 / 8.1Grappling4.6 / 3.0Wrestling3.3 / 2.1Submission4.0 / 1.1Pressure4.3 / 2.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Herrig
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD8BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
24HEAD8BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Herrig targets the head (76% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herrig
RND
Kowalkiewicz
0/0R00/0

Herrig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W5.5L5.0W5.7W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.2L2.8L2014-122017-022018-042022-06
WinLossTrend

Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.9W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W2.3L5.5L6.7L6.5L1.6L5.2W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.4L6.8L4.6L2015-122017-102020-022023-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Herrig · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Virna JandirobaRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

Kowalkiewicz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

News & Media

Felice Herrig · Karolina Kowalkiewicz
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