METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Herrig
55%
Kowalkiewicz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:01
FH
Felice Herrig
"Lil Bulldog"
14 – 10
5'4"65" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Karolina
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
16 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 33
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:01
def. Felice Herrig · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kowalkiewicz
→
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Herrig at 45% vs Kowalkiewicz at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Kowalkiewicz has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HerrigKowalkiewicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
64"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.3
32.7
41.4
Performance Avg
35.6
36
Quality of Victory
28
66
Momentum Score
40
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
2.2
5.8
Style: Volume
8.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
24
5
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance23
1Clinch3
0Ground8
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
40
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herrig
Kowalkiewicz
Striking1.0 / 0.9Volume5.8 / 8.1Grappling4.6 / 3.0Wrestling3.3 / 2.1Submission4.0 / 1.1Pressure4.3 / 2.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Herrig
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Herrig
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD8BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
24HEAD8BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Herrig targets the head (76% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herrig
RND
Kowalkiewicz
0/0R00/0

Herrig · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Virna Jandiroba
Submission
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney Casey
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

Kowalkiewicz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Julia Polastri
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise Gomes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin Lucindo
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana Belbita
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa Demopoulos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

News & Media

Felice Herrig · Karolina Kowalkiewicz
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