UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Lightweight
VS
50%
Etim
50%
Gugerty
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Etim
This is a genuine toss-up — Etim at 50% vs Gugerty at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Etim has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Etim's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gugerty has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Etim
Gugerty
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Etim
Gugerty
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
19.1
50.5
Performance Avg
48.4
48
Quality of Victory
54
58
Momentum Score
52
Etim
Gugerty
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
30%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Etim
Gugerty
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Etim
Gugerty
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Etim
Gugerty
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Etim
Gugerty
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Etim
Gugerty
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
EtimGugerty
Strike Zones
Etim
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGugerty
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Etim targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Gugerty absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Gugerty targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Etim
RND
Gugerty
0/0R00/0
Etim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gugerty · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Etim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Gugerty · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimRating 2.8Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Matt GriceRating 5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · Sub · R3
Spencer FisherRating 4Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Sub · R1
Dale HarttRating 5Submission
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07