METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
80%
Silva
20%
Borella
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:29
★ Official Result
Mayra Bueno SilvawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:29
def. Mara Romero Borella · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Borella has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaBorella
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Borella
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Borella
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.2
11.5
45.0
Performance Avg
35.1
47
Quality of Victory
40
26
Momentum Score
10
Silva
Borella
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
4.4
2.4
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Silva
Borella
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Borella
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Silva
Borella
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
10
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Borella
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Borella
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
SilvaBorella
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBorella
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Borella absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Borella targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Borella
0/0R00/0
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · R2
Macy ChiassonUFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Borella · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney CaseySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren MurphyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
