UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
80%
Silva
20%
Borella
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:29
Mayra
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
10 – 7
5'6"66" reachOrthodox34 yrs5-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 47
MR
Mara Romero Borella
12 – 9
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Borella has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Borella
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Borella
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.2
11.5
45.0
Performance Avg
35.1
47
Quality of Victory
40
26
Momentum Score
10
Silva
Borella
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Silva
Borella
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Borella
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Silva
Borella
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
10
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Borella
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Borella
Striking0.8 / 0.6Volume2.4 / 4.6Grappling6.9 / 5.2Wrestling4.8 / 3.6Submission8.0 / 5.0Pressure6.8 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Silva
Strike Zones
Borella
Silva
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Borella
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Borella absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Borella targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Borella
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.2W6.1L5.0W7.1L4.5W6.0W5.2W6.1L6.1L6.4L6.4L6.8L2018-092021-102023-022025-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Borella · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.8L4.7W4.8L6.5L1.5L2.1L2017-102019-022020-022020-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.1
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Borella · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney CaseyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

News & Media

Mayra Bueno Silva · Mara Romero Borella
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