UFC 43: Meltdown
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2003
Middleweight
VS
51%
Vitale
49%
Lindland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vitale
This is a genuine toss-up — Vitale at 51% vs Lindland at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Vitale has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Lindland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lindland has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vitale
Lindland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
Reach
74"
51+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Vitale
Lindland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
20.9
56.0
Performance Avg
53.0
60
Quality of Victory
38
59
Momentum Score
100
Vitale
Lindland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.8
30%
Strike Accuracy
44%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch2
1Ground0
Vitale
Lindland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vitale
Lindland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/41 fights
Chin rating based on
12/31 fights
Vitale
Lindland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Vitale
Lindland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vitale
Lindland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
VitaleLindland
Strike Zones
Vitale
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLindland
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vitale targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lindland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lindland targets the body (50% of attacks) — Vitale absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vitale
RND
Lindland
0/0R00/0
Vitale · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lindland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Vitale · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Matt LindlandRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R1
Matt LindlandRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
Lindland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Joe DoerksenRating 4.5Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis LutterRating 5.2Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko VitaleRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko VitaleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06