METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
97%
Villanueva
3%
Moreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Ike VillanuevawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:39
def. Vinicius Moreira · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Villanueva
→
Actual result
Villanueva wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Villanueva is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Villanueva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Risk flags
Villanueva's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moreira has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VillanuevaMoreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Villanueva
Moreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villanueva
Moreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
0.6
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
13
Momentum Score
0
Villanueva
Moreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villanueva
Moreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Villanueva
Moreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
22
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Villanueva
Moreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Villanueva
Moreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villanueva
Moreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VillanuevaMoreira
Strike Zones
Villanueva
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMoreira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villanueva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moreira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Moreira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Villanueva absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villanueva
RND
Moreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villanueva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Nicolae NegumereanuKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Marcin PrachnioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Vinicius MoreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · R1
Jordan WrightUFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
Moreira · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Ike VillanuevaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01