UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2022
Featherweight
VS
94%
Sabatini
6%
Laramie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sabatini
Sabatini is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sabatini has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Sabatini has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sabatini's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sabatini
Laramie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sabatini
Laramie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
3.8
53.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Sabatini
Laramie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
33%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Sabatini
Laramie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sabatini
Laramie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Sabatini
Laramie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Sabatini
Laramie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sabatini
Laramie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SabatiniLaramie
Strike Zones
Sabatini
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedLaramie
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sabatini targets the head (67% of attacks) — Laramie absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Laramie targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sabatini
RND
Laramie
0/0R00/0
Sabatini · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Laramie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 5.6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Laramie · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09